Another week of rugby, another round of predictions – with average certainty hovering at around 75%, another week of 9/12 correct calls would feel like a reasonable result. Pro 12 Home Team Draw Away Team Edinburgh 59% 8% 33% Connacht Dragons 19% 3% 78% Ospreys Ulster 99% 0% 1% Zebre Benetton Treviso 12% 5% 84% … [Read more…]
How did the model do this weekend? What does last weekend mean for the leagues come May? How does the model compare to bookies’ odds in the past? Well it was a bit of mixed weekend for the model. Munster’s appalling loss to Edinburgh and Ulster’s last minute draw means I had a meagre … [Read more…]
It’s the first Friday of the Aviva Premiership and Guinness Pro 12 seasons, and the first chance to fire up the Crystal Egg for new games! Without further ado, here are the predictions for the weekend ahead: Pro 12 Home Team Draw Away Team Munster 94% 1% 4% Edinburgh Ospreys 95% 2% 3% Benetton Treviso … [Read more…]
I was glad to see some interest in the Crystal Egg model when I made my first post during the week. There seemed to particularly be questions around how the model worked, so I have put up a description of the process here, for those that way inclined. I’ve also set up a main page … [Read more…]
For something a bit different, this blog post either marks the start of an incredible get-rich quick scheme, or the start of my descent into a hopeless spiral of gambling addiction. Recently I’ve been getting interested in prediction models, and particularly in 538’s World Cup predictions. Seeing as I couldn’t find anyone trying to … [Read more…]
I’ve just posted up a couple of blogs from a previous attempt at blogging last year. I might start going again with something more regular here soon…
Sinn Féin’s recent “Border Poll” appears to be a ludicrous exercise in not only shooting yourself in the foot, but giving yourself a solid kneecapping in the hospital car park while you’re at it. The “People’s Referendum” hilariously asked voters in Louth and South Armagh whether they would like a united Ireland or not … [Read more…]
One of the major arguments that’s been used recently in favour of the abolition of the Seanad has been that the second house has been a retirement home for obsolete TDs and a runners up prize for those unable to get in there in the first place. Is there any truth to this? I decided … [Read more…]